Friday, September 28, 2007

Signs of Trouble on the Horizon?

A September 27, 2007 BBC [Middle East] article reports a “Turkey-Iraq Kurd” deal.It is well-known that the Turks have had problems with the Southeastern Turkey Kurdish Kurdistan Worker’s Party (PKK). Called a terrorist organization by Turkey, Europe and the United States. According to the BBC article, Ankara has warned Baghdad to crack down on the Kurdish rebels or face a possible incursion by Turkish troops.
It seems that the Iraqi government (such as it is) has been negotiating a “hot pursuit” agreement with the Turks. This means that the Turkish army may pursue PPK “terrorists” across the Turkish-Iraqi frontier.
Though both parties have been quite, the Iraqi Kurdish population are objecting to this possibility, as could be expected.
Several questions arise from these developments. First, is this the license the Turks need to destroy what the Kurds in northern Iraq have currently going for them?
Second, can the so-called Iraqi government conduct negotiations that effect the Kurds?
Third, it was reported by presidential candidate Senator Sam Brownback (R Kansas), during the Tavis Smiley, PBS televised Republican Presidential candidate forum, that he and Senator Joseph Biden (D Delaware) are promoting a bi-partisan solution to the Iraqi governmental crisis. The proposal will mandate a tri-state loosely confederated three-state system with a (relatively) weak central government in Baghdad.
Now if all of the above comes to past, this could mean problems for the U.S. While disappointed with the present government of Iraq, President Bush tenaciously supports his “sovereign, fledgling democracy.”
It should be remembered that Turkey is (alleged to be) among America’s staunchest allies. The implications that follow from these developments are huge. What role will the Bush foreign policy establishment play.
And if the Turks become as intransigent as I remember them during a tour of duty in Turkey, it could mean trouble on the horizon.
Of course, it is possible that none of this come to past; keep an eye out for reports and developments in the future. In short:
stay informed
thebrotherman

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